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post hoc ergo propter hoc

Subject: Philosophy

(Latin, after this, so because of this)

The fallacy of arguing that because one event happened after another, it happened because of it.

Commercial Policy

Commercial Policy   Reference library

Capie Forrest, D. Dye Alan, and Tilly Richard

The Oxford Encyclopedia of Economic History

Reference type:
Subject Reference
Current Version:
2005
Subject:
Social sciences, Economics
Length:
7,082 words
Illustration(s):
3

...suggest that the Zollverein embodied both of the customs union effects mentioned above. More than sixty years ago, however, the economic historian, Sir John Clapham , warned that the Zollverein 's alleged contribution to industrialization was subject to the fallacy post hoc ergo propter hoc . More recent research has confirmed Clapham's scepticism: the foundations of German industrialization were being laid well before the Zollverein was born; and the factors driving that industrialization—the application of new, imported technologies, the accumulation of...

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